Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 1.564071 1.695974 1.835678 1.994983 2.171998 2.363093 2.585576
2026-01-04 1.381839 1.565683 1.771472 2.020142 2.314147 2.652713 3.075044
2026-01-11 1.262349 1.477330 1.728076 2.044712 2.437532 2.913675 3.541913
2026-01-18 1.172544 1.408142 1.692182 2.064012 2.544151 3.151953 3.993807
2026-01-25 1.094789 1.343302 1.651326 2.067059 2.622695 3.353256 4.409816
2026-02-01 1.011339 1.262924 1.581949 2.023620 2.631308 3.456614 4.695804
2026-02-08 0.945958 1.200036 1.528905 1.994852 2.653263 3.574789 5.008257
2026-02-15 0.894990 1.152003 1.491060 1.981935 2.693254 3.717868 5.367185
2026-02-22 0.868706 1.134804 1.492727 2.022573 2.810710 3.980794 5.934224
2026-03-01 0.827883 1.094841 1.459789 2.010246 2.847443 4.123022 6.321227
2026-03-08 0.786002 1.050843 1.418160 1.981571 2.855851 4.219822 6.640207
2026-03-15 0.737029 0.994212 1.355166 1.916564 2.802421 4.212193 6.776828
2026-03-22 0.711595 0.970610 1.339549 1.923443 2.864457 4.400366 7.285291
2026-03-29 0.691734 0.954020 1.333190 1.943899 2.949475 4.633906 7.904720
2026-04-05 0.673955 0.939443 1.328760 1.966591 3.039116 4.882359 8.582639
2026-04-12 0.656353 0.924123 1.322119 1.984826 3.121843 5.125010 9.279591
2026-04-19 0.636299 0.904042 1.306899 1.987698 3.177566 5.322633 9.909752
2026-04-26 0.607380 0.869080 1.266631 1.946328 3.151790 5.365213 10.216686
2026-05-03 0.583553 0.840969 1.235819 1.918926 3.148702 5.449804 10.624353
2026-05-10 0.564523 0.819543 1.214647 1.906622 3.171941 5.586941 11.167187
2026-05-17 0.557347 0.816436 1.222796 1.945329 3.292365 5.927935 12.231147
2026-05-24 0.540299 0.796865 1.203029 1.933589 3.315976 6.073135 12.847191
2026-05-31 0.521148 0.773184 1.175427 1.906274 3.307414 6.149921 13.304074